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尔木兹海峡的封锁一天不解除，油价维持高位，市场对美联储的降息预期就会持续受到压制，美元强势的基础就依然牢固。根据联邦基金期货数据，美联储6月份利率维持在当前3.50%-3.75%区间的概率为62.9%。　　黄金则陷入两难境地。这种不产生利息的金属通常在利率较低时更具吸引力，但当前市场却在定价“更高更久”的利率。美元走强和美联储降息前景受到打压形成双重压制，让黄金的避险光芒黯然失色。　　黄金有时能在

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